The next election is the general election, which is scheduled to be held in April 2021. Although our baseline assumption is for a PAR victory, this view is subject to major risks, including a collapse of the current coalition owing to internal tensions, particularly given its lack of a majority in the Staten (the legislature) and a high degree of political fragmentation regarding the island's relationship with the Netherlands. While details regarding the frontrunners of the race are not yet clear, we expect the candidate with the view of strengthening the executive's mandate during negotiations with the Netherlands to emerge as most popular. In the 2017 election the 21 parliamentary seats were contested by 11 parties, of which only seven secured representations. The PAR, MAN and Movementu Futuro Kòrsou (MFK) were the only parties to obtain more than two seats.