Since the dissolution of the Netherlands Antilles in 2010, no government has served a full four-year term, and there is a considerable risk that the current ruling coalition will suffer from internal friction. The next elections are not due until 2021; although it is not our central forecast scenario, there is a high risk of early elections before that date, owing to the coalition's slim majority in the Staten (the parliament) of just one legislator. A high degree of political fragmentation over the island's relationship with the Netherlands will contribute to this risk. In the 2017 elections the 21 legislative seats were contested by 11 parties, of which only seven obtained at least one seat. The PAR, MAN and MFK were the only parties to obtain a substantial amount of seats (at least five each).