Country Report Gabon April 2011

The political scene: An alliance with the UPG is unlikely to be cost-free

If the experience of other African countries is anything to go by, the introduction of biometric voter cards will prove to be a costly and lengthy process that could lead to further delays in holding the next legislative poll, which was originally due to take place in April. Any gains in legitimacy from tying ballots to biometric data could be more than offset by a deferral of the polling day. The support of the UPG and the ACR would offer a serious boost to the ruling party's fortunes come the legislative elections scheduled for December 2011, but will require more than just improving the security of elections. Both parties will demand considerable government representation in exchange for their support. This may lead to clashes with PDG members, who would view the loss of their privileges to make way for former opponents as poor recompense for their loyalty to the president. Mr Mamboundou has already come under fire from some UPG members for his ties with the government, but Mr Bongo would welcome some defections from the UPG, as this would intensify the fragmentation of the opposition.

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