With a seven-year mandate, the next presidential election is not due until 2016, and Senate elections are due in January 2015. National Assembly elections, however, are due by December 2011. The PDG lost only two seats to the UN in the June 2010 by-elections; the latter's dissolution and prospective prosecutions following Mr Mba Obame's presidential self-proclamation will make it very difficult for the party remnants to contest the forthcoming election. Limited public support for Mr Mba Obame's political theatre suggests that the PDG is likely to retain its majority even if a new party emerges. Indeed, symptomatic of the UN's fragility-its heavyweight leaders had little in common beyond shared antipathy towards Mr Bongo-is the fact that few have supported Mr Mba Obame. Thus, whether or not a new party contests the poll, the PDG is likely to remain dominant, particularly in partnership with the UPG. The PDG may also try to tempt remnants of the UN leadership back into the fold.