Forecast summary | ||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||
2009a | 2010b | 2011c | 2012c | |
Real GDP growth | 3.8b | 6.2 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
Oil production ('000 b/d) | 287 | 268a | 247 | 228 |
Crude oil exports (US$ m) | 4,244b | 4,882 | 5,461 | 3,978 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 5.4 | 11.2a | 16.0 | 11.6 |
Deposit rate | 10.0 | 20.0a | 22.0 | 22.0 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -9.3 | -4.9 | -5.6 | -7.2 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 5.9 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 7.5 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 7.9 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 9.3 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | -2.6 | -1.9 | -2.0 | -2.6 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -8.6 | -6.0 | -5.4 | -6.8 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.9 |
Exchange rate YR:US$ (av) | 202.8 | 219.6a | 229.8 | 251.4 |
Exchange rate YR:US$ (end-period) | 207.3 | 213.8a | 243.0 | 257.0 |
Exchange rate YR:¥100 (av) | 216.5 | 249.9a | 281.1 | 310.4 |
Exchange rate YR:€ (av) | 282.6 | 291.1a | 313.7 | 325.6 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. |
Download the numbers in Excel