Forecast summary | ||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||
2009a | 2010b | 2011c | 2012c | |
Real GDP growth | -1.5b | 4.1 | 5.1 | 6.3 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 3.0b | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.2 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | -0.7 | 4.1 | 6.2 | 5.7 |
Base lending rate | 15.8 | 15.6 | 15.8 | 16.0 |
Central government balance (% of GDP) | -8.1b | -5.7 | -5.2 | -5.0 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 4.3 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 6.7 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | -5.9 | -7.3 | -8.3 | -9.2 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | -0.9 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -1.2 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -8.3b | -8.5 | -7.7 | -8.3 |
Exchange rate CR:US$ (av) | 4,139 | 4,194 | 4,204 | 4,246 |
Exchange rate CR:US$ (end-period) | 4,165 | 4,080 | 4,273 | 4,222 |
Exchange rate CR:¥100 (av) | 4,417 | 4,767 | 5,101 | 5,153 |
Exchange rate CR:€ (end-period) | 5,969 | 5,467 | 5,127 | 5,024 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. |
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