Forecast summary | ||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||
2009a | 2010a | 2011b | 2012b | |
Real GDP growth | 0.9 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 4.3 |
Oil production ('000 b/d) | 73.1 | 63.9 | 57.4 | 64.1 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 5.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.5 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 3.0c | 1.3 | 3.4 | 3.0 |
Lending rate | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -0.3 | -2.5 | -3.5 | -1.3 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ m) | 4,079c | 4,456 | 4,618 | 4,901 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ m) | 4,405c | 4,972 | 5,242 | 5,395 |
Current-account balance (US$ m) | -1,137c | -861 | -1,068 | -934 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -4.8 | -3.7 | -4.5 | -3.8 |
External debt (year-end; US$ bn) | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
Exchange rate CFAfr:US$ (av) | 472.2c | 495.5 | 524.8 | 546.6 |
Exchange rate CFAfr:US$ (end-period) | 455.3c | 491.4 | 546.6 | 551.2 |
Exchange rate CFAfr:€ (av) | 656.0 | 656.0 | 656.0 | 656.0 |
a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Actual. |
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