Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growthc | 5.8 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 6.7 |
Industrial production growth | 7.0d | 7.4 | 7.8 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
Gross agricultural production growthc | 4.7 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 5.1d | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 8.1 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 6.6 |
Short-term interbank rate | 13.0 | 13.5 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 14.5 | 14.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP)c | -4.5 | -5.2 | -4.7 | -4.2 | -3.8 | -3.5 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 16.0d | 18.0 | 20.3 | 23.0 | 26.1 | 29.8 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 21.3d | 24.8 | 28.2 | 32.3 | 36.5 | 41.0 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 2.4d | 0.8 | -0.4 | -1.3 | -1.8 | -2.2 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 2.4d | 0.7 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -1.2 | -1.3 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 24.9d | 25.5 | 26.4 | 27.4 | 28.0 | 28.8 |
Exchange rate Tk:US$ (av) | 69.65 | 71.58 | 72.92 | 74.70 | 75.50 | 76.79 |
Exchange rate Tk:US$ (end-period) | 70.75 | 72.00 | 74.00 | 75.20 | 76.00 | 77.00 |
Exchange rate Tk:¥100 (av) | 79.25 | 87.82 | 90.02 | 92.22 | 91.93 | 91.97 |
Exchange rate Tk:€ (end-period) | 96.08 | 90.72 | 90.28 | 90.99 | 94.62 | 99.24 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Fiscal years (ending June 30th). d Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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