Mr Tsvangirai himself cites a "coterie" including Emmerson Mnangagwa (the ZANU-PF minister of defence and Mr Mugabe's heir apparent), Jonathan Moyo, (a former ZANU-PF information minister) and senior members of the police, military and Central Intelligence Organisation (CIO), claiming that these constitute a "third force" within government that "acts with impunity". Some independent political analysts concur. For example, Wilf Mbanga, the UK-based editor of The Zimbabwean, believes that the GNU survives only as a means of providing social services such as health and education, with its political powers "usurped by the military many months ago". However, the idea that Mr Mugabe is being increasingly sidelined by the military junta surrounding him, and that he is no longer in control of the situation, does not seem to be borne out by the president's public appearances, where he appears articulate, rational and fully in control of the facts. Mr Mugabe is adept at manipulating his opponents (and his supporters), and is probably happy to see his "enemies" reach the wrong conclusions.