Quarterly forecasts | ||||||||||||
2010 | 2011 | 2012 | ||||||||||
1 Qtr | 2 Qtr | 3 Qtr | 4 Qtr | 1 Qtr | 2 Qtr | 3 Qtr | 4 Qtr | 1 Qtr | 2 Qtr | 3 Qtr | 4 Qtr | |
GDP | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | 6.7 | -8.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 4.2 | -8.5 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 5.7 | -9.5 | 1.9 | 11.0 |
% change, year on year | 11.2 | 10.2 | 10.4 | 9.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 9.7 | 11.3 | 10.2 | 9.0 | 8.2 |
Private consumption | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | -9.8 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 11.2 | -10.3 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 14.5 | -7.0 | 0.5 | -0.1 | 13.0 |
% change, year on year | 2.6 | 7.0 | 8.6 | 9.0 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 4.6 | 7.8 | 11.8 | 9.8 | 7.0 | 5.5 |
Government consumption | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | -9.0 | -8.3 | 2.4 | 13.6 | 19.8 | -19.7 | -7.2 | 20.8 | 27.7 | -21.7 | -9.4 | 18.4 |
% change, year on year | 2.1 | 9.1 | 10.4 | -3.0 | 27.8 | 11.9 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 15.0 | 12.2 | 9.5 | 7.3 |
Gross fixed investment | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | 19.6 | -8.4 | 0.8 | -4.0 | 12.2 | -7.5 | 8.7 | 5.5 | 9.7 | -9.1 | 6.9 | 4.1 |
% change, year on year | 17.7 | 25.7 | 17.8 | 6.0 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 8.3 | 19.0 | 16.3 | 14.3 | 12.4 | 11.0 |
Exports of goods & services | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | 23.5 | -11.6 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 16.7 | -7.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 10.1 | -4.9 | 4.3 | 3.9 |
% change, year on year | 14.2 | 14.2 | 13.8 | 16.2 | 9.8 | 15.5 | 15.0 | 12.7 | 6.2 | 8.6 | 10.9 | 13.4 |
Imports of goods & services | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | -16.5 | 16.8 | 6.5 | -10.8 | 8.1 | 0.8 | 11.9 | -2.2 | -7.2 | 4.0 | 15.4 | 0.9 |
% change, year on year | -3.7 | 12.3 | 13.8 | -7.3 | 20.0 | 3.5 | 8.8 | 19.3 | 2.4 | 5.7 | 8.9 | 12.3 |
Domestic demand | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | -2.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6.3 | -2.2 | -2.3 | 3.6 | 11.9 | 0.4 | -4.3 | 1.3 | 10.2 |
% change, year on year | 7.5 | 12.5 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 10.7 | 13.6 | 11.3 | 8.8 | 7.2 |
Consumer prices | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | 2.0 | 0.9 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
% change, year on year | 15.1 | 13.7 | 10.5 | 9.3 | 9.2 | 10.0 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5.0 |
Producer prices | ||||||||||||
% change, quarter on quarter | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
% change, year on year | 9.5 | 10.6 | 9.3 | 8.9 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.7 |
Exchange rate Rs:US$ | ||||||||||||
Average | 45.93 | 45.63 | 46.49 | 44.86 | 45.43 | 45.10 | 44.82 | 44.54 | 44.28 | 43.99 | 43.73 | 43.47 |
End-period | 45.14 | 46.60 | 44.92 | 44.81 | 45.26 | 44.96 | 44.68 | 44.41 | 44.14 | 43.86 | 43.60 | 43.59 |
Interest rates (%; av) | ||||||||||||
Money market rate | 5.0 | 5.3 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
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