Country Report Myanmar January 2011

The political scene: The new, post-election landscape yet to take shape

The junta has yet to announce when it will convene the new parliament, comprising a 440-seat lower house, the Pyithu Hluttaw (People's Assembly) and a 224-seat upper house, the Amyotha Hluttaw (Nationalities Assembly). According to official results, the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP), which is backed by the generals, won almost 80% of the contested seats in both houses (one-quarter of the seats in both houses are not elected and will be set aside for the military). Opposition groups claim that vote-rigging in favour of the USDP was widespread, particularly through the manipulation of large numbers of advance votes collected ahead of the November 7th poll. But opposition groups are finding it difficult to challenge the results, in part because of the high fee of Kt1m (around US$1,000 at the official exchange rate, or US$180,000 at the free-market rate) demanded by the Election Commission in return for accepting a complaint. Despite the problems, a handful of pro-democracy parties were successful in winning seats in the new parliament. Originally, most indicated that they planned to form alliances in parliament to pursue a pro-democracy agenda. However, the landslide victory for the USDP will limit the impact they can have. In addition, now that Aung San Suu Kyi is free, she and the NLD (which did not take part in the poll) are likely to become the focus for the pro-democracy movement. Given the various obstacles that they face, it is possible that some pro-democracy parties may yet choose to boycott the new parliament when it is finally convened. However, the two largest ethnic-based parties that won seats, the Rakhine Nationalities Development Party and the Shan Nationalities Democratic Party, have both indicated that they intend to take up their seats.

© 2011 The Economist lntelligence Unit Ltd. All rights reserved
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