Country Report Myanmar January 2011

The political scene: Aung San Suu Kyi works to establish stronger regional ties

In addition to trying to strengthen the pro-democracy movement in Myanmar, in recent weeks Aung San Suu Kyi has had meetings with a number of foreign diplomats in an effort to increase her party's influence internationally. The NLD leader has been particularly keen to strengthen ties with regional neighbours, such as China and India. However, for the most part Myanmar's neighbours have continued with their efforts to engage the junta and have refraining from criticising the election process. As current chair of the Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN), Vietnam recently issued a statement welcoming the elections as a "significant step" in the junta's road map to democracy. In an interview with a Singaporean state-owned newspaper, the Straits Times, Aung San Suu Kyi stated that she would like the Singaporean government to have closer ties with the Burmese democracy movement, but she avoided criticising the Singapore government's ties with the junta, stating that she believed in the engagement process provided that it included all sides.

The NLD leader has been more critical of India, stating in the Indian media in late November that she was "saddened" by India's lack of support for democracy in Myanmar. Again, however, she avoided calling for disengagement with the Burmese military regime, saying that she did not "oppose relations with the generals" but calling on the Indian government to form stronger ties with pro-democracy groups as well. In late November both India and China voted against a UN resolution condemning human rights violations in Myanmar and calling for the release of political prisoners. For now, India appears to be prioritising its strategic ties with the regime in Myanmar, as it is keen to secure access to major new offshore gasfields and to improve security along the porous border between the two countries.

In late November the UN special envoy to Myanmar, Vijay Nambiar, met Aung San Suu Kyi, as well as Myanmar's foreign minister, Nyan Win, other members of the junta and representatives of political parties that contested the recent election. Mr Nambiar said that he had urged the junta and the Election Commission to address concerns about election fraud "as transparently as possible". He also called for the release of political prisoners, and the inclusion of a wide range of opposition groups in any political transition process. The fact that Mr Nambiar was allowed to visit Myanmar was a positive sign (the junta has frequently denied UN special advisers access to the country). However, opposition groups remain sceptical about the extent to which the UN can influence the junta.

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