Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.3 |
Industrial production growth | 4.3c | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 7.1 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.0 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 5.1 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 6.5 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 7.0 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 6.4 | 6.9 | 6.3 |
Money market interest rate | 6.1 | 7.2 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -0.8c | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.2 | -1.1 | -0.9 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 158.2 | 192.0 | 222.2 | 260.6 | 305.5 | 360.8 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 127.1 | 154.6 | 182.5 | 221.7 | 263.0 | 312.3 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 6.3 | 9.5 | 11.8 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 11.9 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 161.0c | 168.5 | 168.2 | 170.3 | 174.4 | 180.7 |
Exchange rate Rp:US$ (av) | 9,090 | 8,612 | 8,610 | 8,688 | 8,783 | 8,860 |
Exchange rate Rp:US$ (end-period) | 8,991 | 8,611 | 8,649 | 8,735 | 8,822 | 8,899 |
Exchange rate Rp:¥100 (av) | 10,344 | 10,535 | 10,630 | 10,726 | 10,695 | 10,611 |
Exchange rate Rp:€ (end-period) | 12,210 | 11,367 | 10,984 | 10,570 | 10,983 | 11,490 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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