Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 10.8 | 4.0 | 4.6 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
Industrial production growth | 26.9 | 13.7 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 |
Gross fixed investment growth | 23.7 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 5.2 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.0 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
Short-term interbank rate | 2.7 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 6.0 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -1.9c | -1.5 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.5 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 274.4 | 315.1 | 350.0 | 384.9 | 430.1 | 482.3 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 247.5 | 289.7 | 330.1 | 365.1 | 409.7 | 465.2 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 40.6 | 38.1 | 29.0 | 29.0 | 29.1 | 27.5 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 9.4 | 7.9 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 4.3 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 92.1c | 109.8 | 123.8 | 133.9 | 143.9 | 157.8 |
Exchange rate NT$:US$ (av) | 31.65 | 29.04 | 28.55 | 28.20 | 27.79 | 27.40 |
Exchange rate NT$:US$ (end-period) | 30.37 | 28.80 | 28.38 | 27.99 | 27.59 | 27.20 |
Exchange rate NT$:¥100 (av) | 35.97 | 35.24 | 34.65 | 34.82 | 33.84 | 32.81 |
Exchange rate NT$:€ (av) | 41.97 | 36.30 | 34.26 | 33.28 | 32.23 | 32.05 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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