Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
Industrial production growth | 4.3c | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 7.1 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.0 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 5.1 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 7.0 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 6.2 |
Money market interest rate | 6.1c | 7.3 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -0.8c | -1.3 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.7 | -0.3 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 154.9c | 183.6 | 204.6 | 234.1 | 273.1 | 319.0 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 118.8c | 145.1 | 165.0 | 191.7 | 228.5 | 269.8 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 7.1c | 9.3 | 9.4 | 8.4 | 7.8 | 8.8 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 1.0c | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 161.0c | 165.9 | 165.9 | 168.0 | 171.1 | 175.9 |
Exchange rate Rp:US$ (av) | 9,088 | 8,846 | 8,884 | 8,977 | 9,050 | 9,130 |
Exchange rate Rp:US$ (end-period) | 8,991 | 8,865 | 8,930 | 9,013 | 9,090 | 9,170 |
Exchange rate Rp:¥100 (av) | 10,388 | 10,735 | 10,783 | 11,082 | 11,020 | 10,934 |
Exchange rate Rp:€ (end-period) | 12,048 | 10,638 | 10,627 | 10,546 | 10,590 | 10,751 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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