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Country Report Bahrain April 2011
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HTMLOutlook for 2011-15: Forecast summary
| Forecast summary | ||||||
| (% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
| 2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
| Real GDP growth | 4.5c | 2.9 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| Oil production ('000 b/d) | 182c | 181 | 180 | 178 | 179 | 179 |
| Petroleum exports (US$ m) | 11,345 | 15,377 | 13,279 | 12,346 | 12,268 | 13,049 |
| Consumer price inflation (av) | 2.0c | 4.5 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 1.0c | 3.8 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Money-market rate | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 7.6 |
| Government balance (% of GDP) | -2.5 | 0.8 | -5.1 | -7.7 | -9.5 | -8.8 |
| Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 14.6 | 19.1 | 17.0 | 16.2 | 16.4 | 17.5 |
| Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 11.9 | 17.1 | 15.2 | 14.4 | 14.8 | 16.0 |
| Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 0.2 | -1.5 | -1.4 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 |
| Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 1.2 | -7.7 | -6.4 | -5.4 | -5.0 | -5.2 |
| External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 14.8 | 15.4 | 15.6 | 15.3 | 15.2 | 15.4 |
| Exchange rate BD:US$ (av) | 0.376c | 0.376 | 0.376 | 0.376 | 0.376 | 0.376 |
| Exchange rate BD:¥100 (av) | 0.428c | 0.461 | 0.464 | 0.464 | 0.458 | 0.450 |
| Exchange rate BD:€ (av) | 0.498c | 0.492 | 0.470 | 0.452 | 0.462 | 0.479 |
| Exchange rate BD:€ (end-period) | 0.511c | 0.474 | 0.459 | 0.455 | 0.468 | 0.485 |
| a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Actual. | ||||||
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