Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 1.7 | 6.7 | 8.1 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 5.4 |
Crude oil production ('000 b/d) | 1,780 | 1,875 | 1,950 | 2,020 | 2,085 | 2,115 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 14.5 | 14.8 | 12.8 | 11.2 | 10.5 | 9.5 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 15.3 | 13.1 | 12.9 | 9.5 | 11.5 | 9.0 |
Lending rate (av) | 22.9 | 21.4 | 18.2 | 15.6 | 13.8 | 14.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | 7.5 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 50.7 | 60.8 | 58.6 | 58.8 | 58.3 | 60.3 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 24.9 | 27.7 | 29.3 | 30.8 | 32.0 | 32.5 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | -2.5 | -1.2 | -4.5 | -4.7 | -6.9 | -7.2 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -3.0 | -1.2 | -3.6 | -3.1 | -3.8 | -3.5 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 17.9 | 19.6 | 19.9 | 20.7 | 22.1 | 24.5 |
Exchange rate Kz:US$ (av) | 91.9 | 94.2 | 93.1 | 90.3 | 89.5 | 90.6 |
Exchange rate Kz:US$ (end-period) | 95.8 | 95.0 | 92.0 | 90.0 | 87.0 | 87.0 |
Exchange rate Kz:¥100 (av) | 104.5 | 114.3 | 113.0 | 111.5 | 109.0 | 108.5 |
Exchange rate Kz:€ (av) | 121.8 | 119.1 | 111.7 | 106.6 | 103.8 | 106.0 |
a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. |
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