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Country Report Uzbekistan June 2011
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HTMLOutlook for 2011-12: Forecast summary
| Forecast summary | ||||
| (% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||
| 2009a | 2010a | 2011b | 2012b | |
| Real GDP growth | 8.1c | 8.5c | 8.6 | 8.7 |
| Consumer price inflationd (av) | 14.1 | 15.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 |
| Consumer price inflationd (end-period) | 10.6 | 16.0 | 17.3 | 14.0 |
| Government balance (% of GDP) | 0.2c | 0.3c | -0.2 | -0.3 |
| Exports of goods fob (US$ m) | 10,735 | 12,010 | 13,540 | 12,760 |
| Imports of goods fob (US$ m) | -9,023 | -8,030 | -8,190 | -8,400 |
| Current-account balance (US$ m) | 3,545 | 5,843 | 7,454 | 6,269 |
| Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 10.8 | 15.0 | 16.4 | 12.0 |
| External debt (year-end; US$ bn) | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| Exchange rate Som:US$ (av) | 1,467c | 1,587c | 1,717 | 1,844 |
| Exchange rate Som:US$ (end-period) | 1,510c | 1,638c | 1,785 | 1,896 |
| Exchange rate Som:€ (av) | 2,043c | 2,104c | 2,347 | 2,329 |
| Exchange rate Som:€ (end-period) | 2,164c | 2,224c | 2,347 | 2,313 |
| a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Actual. d The data are based on the IMF's inflation measure. | ||||
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