Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
Industrial production growth | 4.7c | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 7.1 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.0 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 5.1 | 7.3 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 7.0 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 6.2 |
Money market interest rate | 6.1c | 7.3 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -0.8c | -1.3 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 154.6c | 180.4 | 201.4 | 231.0 | 270.5 | 315.8 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 118.7c | 141.1 | 161.2 | 188.6 | 225.2 | 266.0 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 6.9c | 10.4 | 10.1 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 9.2 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 1.0c | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 161.0c | 164.5 | 164.2 | 167.3 | 170.3 | 175.0 |
Exchange rate Rp:US$ (av) | 9,088 | 8,927 | 8,965 | 9,059 | 9,133 | 9,213 |
Exchange rate Rp:US$ (end-period) | 8,991 | 8,946 | 9,012 | 9,096 | 9,173 | 9,253 |
Exchange rate Rp:¥100 (av) | 10,388 | 10,833 | 10,882 | 11,183 | 11,121 | 11,034 |
Exchange rate Rp:€ (end-period) | 12,048 | 10,736 | 10,724 | 10,642 | 10,687 | 10,850 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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