Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
Industrial production growth | 4.3c | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 7.1 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.0 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 5.1 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 7.0 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 6.2 |
Money market interest rate | 6.1 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -0.8c | -1.4 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -1.1 | -0.8 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 157.2c | 194.3 | 222.9 | 260.1 | 306.7 | 360.2 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 120.9c | 154.5 | 178.5 | 209.8 | 249.8 | 298.5 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 7.4c | 10.4 | 14.0 | 16.7 | 20.2 | 21.1 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 1.0c | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 161.0c | 167.3 | 166.9 | 168.6 | 172.2 | 177.4 |
Exchange rate Rp:US$ (av) | 9,090 | 8,780 | 8,850 | 8,916 | 8,979 | 9,058 |
Exchange rate Rp:US$ (end-period) | 8,991 | 8,815 | 8,883 | 8,948 | 9,019 | 9,098 |
Exchange rate Rp:¥100 (av) | 10,344 | 10,773 | 10,927 | 11,008 | 10,934 | 10,848 |
Exchange rate Rp:€ (end-period) | 12,210 | 11,107 | 10,838 | 10,827 | 11,228 | 11,725 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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