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Country Report Tajikistan March 2011
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HTMLOutlook for 2011-12: Forecast summary
| Forecast summary | ||||
| (% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||
| 2009a | 2010a | 2011b | 2012b | |
| Real GDP growth | 3.4 | 6.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 |
| Aluminium exports ('000 tonnes) | 348.7 | 338.0 | 390.0 | 400.0 |
| Cotton output ('000 tonnes) | 92.3 | 98.3 | 115.0 | 120.0 |
| Consumer price inflation (av) | 6.4 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 7.0 |
| Lending rate (%) | 25.9 | 24.1 | 20.0 | 22.0 |
| Government balance (% of GDP) | -0.5 | -0.2c | -0.2 | -0.5 |
| Exports of goods fob (US$ m) | 1,038.5 | 1,270.8c | 1,984.0 | 1,449.1 |
| Imports of goods fob (US$ m) | -2,770.4 | -2,819.4c | -3,499.1 | -3,624.7 |
| Current-account balance (US$ m) | -179.9 | 399.9c | 764.7 | 411.6 |
| Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -3.6 | 7.1c | 11.6 | 5.5 |
| Exchange rate S:US$ (av) | 4.14 | 4.38 | 4.42 | 4.44 |
| Exchange rate S:€ (av) | 5.77 | 5.81 | 5.59 | 5.33 |
| Exchange rate S:Rb (av) | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. | ||||
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