Country Report Seychelles June 2011

Outlook for 2011-12: Election watch

Having won the presidential election with an increased share of the vote, the PP will approach legislative elections scheduled for 2012 with a degree of confidence. The SNP, which captured 11 out of 34 seats in 2007 with 44% of the vote, will struggle to add to this total and is vulnerable in several constituencies. Indeed, the SNP's Mr Ramkalawan won a majority in only two of the archipelago's 25 constituencies in the recent presidential election. The PP is highly likely to retain control of the National Assembly in 2012 (having dominated, including in its previous guise as the Seychelles People's Progressive Front, since 1979) and will cross the two-thirds threshold needed to amend the constitution unilaterally if it wins one extra seat (the PP speaker does not vote). Indeed, perhaps anticipating such a result, Mr Michel is publicly discussing the need to update various laws and provisions in the constitution following an official constitutional review concluded at the end of 2009. However, the attorney-general, Ronnie Govinden, has stressed the importance of a national referendum on any changes, even if the PP does attain a super-majority. The debate on constitutional change will gather pace after next year's ballot.

© 2011 The Economist lntelligence Unit Ltd. All rights reserved
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