Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 7.8 | 8.1 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 7.3 |
Gross industrial growth | 7.9 | 10.3 | 6.7 | 9.6 | 6.8 | 7.0 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 4.7 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.6 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 5.9 | 8.8 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 6.9 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 5.7 |
Short-term interbank rate | 9.5 | 11.1 | 10.1 | 8.3 | 7.9 | 7.9 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -7.7 | -5.6 | -5.3 | -5.4 | -4.7 | -3.9 |
Government balance, excl grants & privatisation (% of GDP ) | -8.0 | -7.5 | -6.6 | -6.0 | -5.1 | -4.0 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 8.1 | 9.5 | 10.3 | 11.3 | 12.4 | 13.8 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 12.1 | 14.9 | 15.9 | 17.5 | 19.4 | 22.2 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | -1.7 | -2.5 | -2.9 | -3.3 | -3.4 | -4.2 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -3.5 | -4.3 | -4.5 | -4.6 | -4.2 | -4.7 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 17.9 | 18.7 | 20.0 | 21.0 | 22.3 | 23.8 |
Exchange rate SLRs:US$ (av) | 113.1c | 111.6 | 112.4 | 117.1 | 116.5 | 119.4 |
Exchange rate SLRs:US$ (end-period) | 110.9c | 112.0 | 114.7 | 116.8 | 117.9 | 126.4 |
Exchange rate SLRs:¥100 (av) | 128.7c | 136.1 | 138.8 | 144.5 | 141.9 | 143.0 |
Exchange rate SLRs:€ (av) | 149.9c | 141.2 | 134.9 | 138.2 | 135.1 | 139.7 |
a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Actual. |
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