Forecasts of increases in the production of several important commodities suggest that economic growth in 2011 could be boosted after unseasonable heavy rains depressed output in 2010. Coal production is expected to rise to 340m tonnes, up from 275m tonnes in 2010, according to the Indonesian Coal Mining Association (APBI), as demand recovers in both domestic and international markets. Around 80% of production will be exported, mainly to Japan, India, China and South Korea. Palm oil output is also expected to rise, by 5.3% to 24.4m tonnes, while output of rubber is expected to increase by 1.1% to 2.7m tonnes. Cocoa and coffee production is also expected to expand, with the former forecast to increase by 8.7% to 1.1m tonnes and the latter by 1.6% to 698,000 tonnes. The oil and gas industry regulator, BPMIGAS, is optimistic that oil production can be raised to 970,000 b/d in 2011, up from 954,000 b/d in 2010, although it remains to be seen whether the target is achievable given the decline in production in recent years and the lack of investment in exploiting new reserves. Meanwhile, the trade minister, Marie Pangestu, has forecast that non-oil-and-gas exports will rise by 12-15% to US$139bn-146bn in 2011. Greater production of commodities and higher prices are expected to contribute to the export expansion, but so too are manufactured goods. Ms Pangestu said that recent investment had boosted capacity for the production of electronic goods and footwear. In line with this trend, the industry minister, M S Hidayat, has forecast that the manufacturing sector will expand by 5.2-6.1% this year.