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Country Report Indonesia January 2011
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PDFOutlook for 2011-15: Forecast summary
| Forecast summary | ||||||
| (% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
| 2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
| Real GDP growth | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| Industrial production growth | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Gross agricultural production growth | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Unemployment rate (av) | 7.1c | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.0 |
| Consumer price inflation (av) | 5.1c | 6.7 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 7.0c | 5.6 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 6.2 |
| Money market interest rate | 6.2 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 8.4 | 8.4 |
| Government balance (% of GDP) | -0.8 | -1.2 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.6 | -0.1 |
| Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 150.9 | 169.4 | 186.7 | 209.3 | 238.6 | 269.7 |
| Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 115.5 | 131.6 | 147.9 | 168.2 | 194.7 | 222.2 |
| Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 6.8 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 7.5 | 7.6 | 8.3 |
| Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 157.3 | 159.1 | 157.8 | 159.2 | 160.1 | 162.3 |
| Exchange rate Rp:US$ (av) | 9,090 | 8,955 | 8,968 | 9,055 | 9,129 | 9,209 |
| Exchange rate Rp:US$ (end-period) | 9,023 | 8,962 | 9,011 | 9,092 | 9,169 | 9,249 |
| Exchange rate Rp:¥100 (av) | 10,390 | 10,867 | 10,885 | 11,179 | 11,116 | 11,029 |
| Exchange rate Rp:€ (end-period) | 12,090 | 10,754 | 10,724 | 10,637 | 10,682 | 10,845 |
| a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Actual. | ||||||
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