Country Report The Gambia January 2011

Outlook for 2011-12: Forecast summary

The Gambia: forecast summary
(% unless otherwise indicated)
 2009a2010a2011b2012b
Real GDP growth5.65.65.35.5
Groundnuts exports ('000 tonnes)20.021.625.429.4
Consumer price inflation (av)4.6c5.14.74.5
Lending interest rate (%)27.0c28.027.026.5
Government balance (% of GDP)-1.5-1.7-1.5-1.0
Exports of goods fob (US$ m)94.8108.9123.9142.0
Imports of goods fob (US$ m)280.3318.6349.5375.4
Current-account balance (US$ m)-70.6-107.1-107.2-105.9
Current-account balance (% of GDP)-7.3-10.6-9.0-8.4
External debt (year-end; US$ bn)0.50.50.60.6
Exchange rate D:US$ (av)26.64c28.1329.7530.88
Exchange rate D:¥100 (av)28.43c31.9736.1037.48
Exchange rate D:€ (av)37.12c37.2437.1937.05
Exchange rate D:SDR (av)41.26c43.1145.0946.05
a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Actual.

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