Country Report South Korea March 2011

Outlook for 2011-15: Forecast summary

Forecast summary
(% unless otherwise indicated)
 2010a2011b2012b2013b2014b2015b
Real GDP growth6.14.64.13.93.84.1
Industrial production growth16.67.16.87.15.75.7
Gross fixed investment growth6.55.23.93.93.83.9
Unemployment rate (av)3.73.33.02.72.62.3
Consumer price inflation (av)3.04.23.33.03.12.9
Consumer price inflation (end-period)3.54.33.13.03.03.5
Short-term interbank rate5.55.96.36.87.47.5
Government balance (% of GDP)1.2c1.01.41.51.71.4
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn)464.3c570.0605.3642.6693.3743.2
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn)-422.4c-534.7-570.3-608.1-660.9-713.1
Current-account balance (US$ bn)28.2c24.321.921.017.615.0
Current-account balance (% of GDP)2.8c2.11.81.61.21.0
External debt (end-period; US$ bn)375.0c394.5409.1431.6455.8483.0
Exchange rate W:US$ (av)1,1561,1111,0981,0861,0681,065
Exchange rate W:US$ (end-period)1,1351,1041,0921,0771,0661,063
Exchange rate W:¥100 (av)1,3141,3481,3321,3411,3001,275
Exchange rate W:€ (av)1,5331,3891,3171,2811,2381,246
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates.

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Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this information, The Economist lntelligence Unit Ltd. cannot accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this information
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