Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 6.1 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
Industrial production growth | 16.6 | 7.1 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
Gross fixed investment growth | 6.5 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 3.0 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 3.5 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
Short-term interbank rate | 5.5 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 7.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | 1.2c | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 464.3c | 570.0 | 605.3 | 642.6 | 693.3 | 743.2 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | -422.4c | -534.7 | -570.3 | -608.1 | -660.9 | -713.1 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 28.2c | 24.3 | 21.9 | 21.0 | 17.6 | 15.0 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 2.8c | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 375.0c | 394.5 | 409.1 | 431.6 | 455.8 | 483.0 |
Exchange rate W:US$ (av) | 1,156 | 1,111 | 1,098 | 1,086 | 1,068 | 1,065 |
Exchange rate W:US$ (end-period) | 1,135 | 1,104 | 1,092 | 1,077 | 1,066 | 1,063 |
Exchange rate W:¥100 (av) | 1,314 | 1,348 | 1,332 | 1,341 | 1,300 | 1,275 |
Exchange rate W:€ (av) | 1,533 | 1,389 | 1,317 | 1,281 | 1,238 | 1,246 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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