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Country Report Indonesia May 2011
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PDFOutlook for 2011-15: Forecast summary
| Forecast summary | ||||||
| (% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
| 2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
| Real GDP growth | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.4 |
| Industrial production growth | 4.3c | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Gross agricultural production growth | 2.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Unemployment rate (av) | 7.1 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.0 |
| Consumer price inflation (av) | 5.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 7.0 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 6.3 | 6.7 | 6.2 |
| Money market interest rate | 6.1 | 7.3 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8.5 |
| Government balance (% of GDP) | -0.8c | -1.2 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.6 |
| Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 158.2 | 188.8 | 217.9 | 254.4 | 297.9 | 351.3 |
| Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 127.1 | 152.7 | 176.8 | 210.0 | 249.8 | 302.3 |
| Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 6.3 | 8.2 | 12.6 | 13.7 | 14.6 | 11.8 |
| Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 161.0c | 168.4 | 168.1 | 169.9 | 173.3 | 179.5 |
| Exchange rate Rp:US$ (av) | 9,090 | 8,612 | 8,610 | 8,674 | 8,736 | 8,812 |
| Exchange rate Rp:US$ (end-period) | 8,991 | 8,611 | 8,642 | 8,705 | 8,774 | 8,851 |
| Exchange rate Rp:¥100 (av) | 10,344 | 10,535 | 10,630 | 10,709 | 10,637 | 10,554 |
| Exchange rate Rp:€ (end-period) | 12,210 | 11,367 | 10,976 | 10,533 | 10,924 | 11,428 |
| a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. | ||||||
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