Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 2.1 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 6.1 |
Oil production ('000 b/d) | 2,311 | 2,430 | 2,500 | 2,575 | 2,675 | 2,800 |
Crude oil exports (US$ m) | 58,077 | 77,790 | 67,413 | 65,619 | 65,749 | 69,776 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 0.9c | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
Deposit rate | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 4.6 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | 0.8 | 3.7 | 0.3 | -1.4 | -3.1 | -3.3 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 198.0 | 230.1 | 233.5 | 248.0 | 268.7 | 298.1 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 158.7 | 171.4 | 181.7 | 198.0 | 216.2 | 237.9 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | 6.1 | 24.5 | 16.3 | 14.3 | 13.5 | 18.5 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | 2.1 | 7.0 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 125.3 | 128.5 | 133.4 | 139.1 | 144.8 | 150.4 |
Exchange rate Dh:US$ (av) | 3.67c | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.67 | 3.67 |
Exchange rate Dh:€ (av) | 4.87c | 5.01 | 4.76 | 4.51 | 4.51 | 4.68 |
Exchange rate Dh:¥100 (av) | 4.18c | 4.49 | 4.53 | 4.53 | 4.47 | 4.40 |
a Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Actual. |
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