Forecast summary | ||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||
2009a | 2010b | 2011c | 2012c | |
Real GDP growth | 6.0 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 7.5 |
Consumer prices (av, 2000=100) | 12.1 | 7.2a | 7.7 | 6.5 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 12.2 | 5.6a | 7.6 | 6.2 |
Lending interest rate (av) | 15.0 | 14.3a | 14.7 | 13.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP)d | -4.8 | -6.4 | -6.6 | -6.0 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ m) | 3,364.7 | 3,970.3 | 4,754.1 | 4,636.2 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ m) | -5,834.2 | -6,729.8 | -7,631.4 | -8,018.5 |
Current-account balance (US$ m) | -1,816.2 | -2,056.3 | -2,125.5 | -2,560.9 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -8.5 | -8.6 | -8.3 | -8.9 |
External debt (year-end; US$ bn) | 7.3 | 8.2 | 8.9 | 9.6 |
Exchange rate TSh:US$ (av) | 1,320.3 | 1,409.3a | 1,506.5 | 1,533.7 |
Exchange rate TSh:¥100 (av) | 1,409.0 | 1,603.6a | 1,842.8 | 1,893.5 |
Exchange rate TSh:€ (end-period) | 1,901.6 | 1,986.6a | 2,011.4 | 1,958.6 |
Exchange rate TSh:SDR (end-period) | 2,092.3 | 2,295.4a | 2,363.8 | 2,364.9 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. d Fiscal years (July-June). |
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