Country Report Curaçao 3rd Quarter 2017

Outlook for 2017-18: Policy trends

The Economist intelligence Unit does not expect a radical policy shift under the new government. Under the auspices of the College Financieel Toezicht, the Netherlands' public-sector financial supervision council, the island has made some important structural changes over the past two years that should see its fiscal position improve in the long term. These include an increase in the retirement age from 60 to 65, an additional sales tax of 9% on luxury goods, a more progressive property tax and a reduction in the number of public servants in order to ease the public-sector wage bill. Additional reform efforts have been focused on healthcare, such as the implementation of a basic medical insurance scheme and a preference for generic drugs in order to reduce the medicine bill. These measures, combined with a spending freeze, have helped the island to reverse the deficits that were accumulated during the Schotte administration. Never-theless, slower progress has been made on implementing other policy recom-mendations, including some supported by the IMF, such as a move to introduce value-added tax (VAT), as well as bringing greater flexibility to the labour market. Long-term policy will be guided by the island's 2015-30 National Development Plan, which seeks to boost competitiveness, improve infrastruc-ture and diversify the economy further.

The opening up of state utilities to competition and private-sector investment will also advance only slowly, and the government will need to address the underperformance of state-owned companies. A policy of encouraging alternative, sustainable electricity generation and energy conservation in order to reduce dependence on imported fuel is making progress. However, this will be hindered if the weakness of international oil prices proves sustained, as this would undermine the competitiveness of alternative energy sources. The island will remain an attractive tourism destination, but it is heavily dependent on Venezuelan demand, which will remain affected by that country's ongoing financial crisis. On the positive side, Curaçao has a more diversified economy than the rest of the Dutch-speaking Caribbean, which means that it is less vulnerable to a slump in tourism or any other single sector. Ongoing infrastructure improvements-including a new hospital for the island and a new arrivals hall for the airport-should also help to boost growth and employment.

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