Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growthc | 4.4 | 2.3d | 3.4 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.7 |
Industrial production growth | 4.7d | 2.5 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.5 |
Agricultural production growthc | 2.0 | 1.7d | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 15.4d | 15.2 | 15.2 | 14.5 | 13.8 | 13.4 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 13.9 | 12.5 | 7.9 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 6.9 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 16.8 | 9.0 | 7.4 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.9 |
Short-term interbank rate | 11.7 | 12.1 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 9.1 | 9.0 |
Central government balance (% of GDP)c | -6.3d | -6.7d | -6.5 | -5.6 | -5.3 | -5.0 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 21.4d | 27.6 | 32.5 | 38.6 | 44.4 | 51.9 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | -32.8d | -41.0 | -46.8 | -54.5 | -64.6 | -76.7 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | -2.2d | -3.2 | -2.9 | -3.7 | -6.7 | -10.0 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -1.2d | -1.7 | -1.4 | -1.6 | -2.7 | -3.8 |
External debt (year-end; US$ bn) | 56.2d | 61.0 | 62.0 | 63.0 | 65.2 | 68.7 |
Exchange rate PRs:US$ (av) | 85.2 | 85.2 | 87.4 | 90.5 | 91.7 | 93.1 |
Exchange rate PRs:US$ (end-period) | 85.7 | 86.3 | 88.9 | 91.1 | 92.4 | 93.8 |
Exchange rate PRs:¥100 (av) | 90.9 | 96.6 | 99.6 | 104.3 | 106.6 | 108.2 |
Exchange rate PRs:€ (av) | 118.7 | 110.1 | 104.0 | 104.1 | 104.5 | 106.1 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Fiscal years (ending June 30th). d Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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