Country Report Ethiopia January 2011

Outlook for 2011-12: Election watch

After the conclusion of the May 2010 election, the EPRDF will consolidate its control, while the opposition will enter a period of reflection, trying to come up with strategies to force the government to open up the political space over the next five years. The next elections are not due until 2015, but the opposition has a lot of work to do to make itself competitive at the polls. The largest opposition alliance, the Ethiopia Federal Democratic Unity Forum (known as Forum, or Medrek in Amharic), has announced plans to transform from a coalition into a political front and has appointed a new chairman. One of its six constituent parties, the Unity for Democracy and Justice, has announced plans to merge with a smaller opposition party, the All Ethiopian Unity Party, which would enlarge the alliance. However, most of the opposition parties are still having difficulty agreeing on anything. The divided nature of the opposition, as well as its inability to raise significant funds domestically, will make it relatively easy for the government to keep it marginalised, particularly in the absence of substantial international pressure.

© 2011 The Economist lntelligence Unit Ltd. All rights reserved
Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this information, The Economist lntelligence Unit Ltd. cannot accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this information
IMPRINT