Country Report Cambodia February 2010

Outlook for 2010-11: International assumptions

International assumptions summary
(% unless otherwise indicated)
Real GDP growth
Exchange rates
Financial indicators
€ 3-month interbank rate4.651.231.032.50
US$ 3-month Libor2.910.690.981.93
Commodity prices
Oil (Brent; US$/b)97.762.078.073.0
Gold (US$/troy oz)871.8973.01,186.31,231.3
Food, feedstuffs & beverages (% change in US$ terms)29.5-
Industrial raw materials (% change in US$ terms)-5.1-25.631.20.6
Note. Regional GDP growth rates weighted using purchasing power parity exchange rates.

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The global recovery, which began in Asia, is now well under way. The Economist Intelligence Unit has revised up its forecast for world economic expansion in 2010 at purchasing power parity (PPP) exchange rates to 3.6%, from 3.5% in our previous report, following a further upgrade to our GDP growth forecast for China. Our forecast for global growth at PPP in 2011 is unchanged at 3.5%; global growth will slow in that year as the impact of stimulus policies fades. At market exchange rates world GDP growth will be slower, at 2.7% in 2010 and 2.4% in 2011.

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