Country Report Namibia March 2011

Outlook for 2011-12: Election watch

SWAPO retained control of most authorities in the regional and local elections on November 26th-27th, although voter turnout was 38%, the lowest ever level in nationwide elections. The unwillingness of the main opposition party, the Rally for Democracy and Progress (RDP), to enter into electoral pacts with other parties contributed to the opposition's poor showing. Opposition disunity is certainly a factor in SWAPO's continued ability to win decisive election victories: in the regional elections SWAPO secured almost one-half of the 107 constituencies by either a wafer-thin majority or a minority of the vote. Personal rivalry between the party leaders will make a broad opposition alliance difficult to achieve, but now that the RDP has found that it cannot make significant progress by itself, the prospects for an election pact-to contest the next national elections in November 2014-may have improved.

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