The South West Africa People's Organisation (SWAPO), which has governed Namibia since independence in 1990, will dominate the political scene throughout the forecast period. Although policy continuity will be maintained during the forecast period, radical elements in SWAPO will press for the land-resettlement programme to be accelerated and for the implementation of the long-delayed comprehensive black economic empowerment (BEE) law. This provides for a shift in the ownership of private-sector firms in favour of "historically disadvantaged Namibians", including minimum equity stakes for BEE entities. However, the growing perception (even among some SWAPO leaders) that most BEE initiatives have worsened corruption and resulted merely in the enrichment of a few politically well-connected Namibians may cause the authorities to re-examine the means of implementing BEE.

The High Court in Windhoek has dismissed the application by nine opposition parties to overturn the results of the 2009 National Assembly election, the judges finding that the applicants had provided insufficient evidence to prove that the elections had been flawed by irregularities such as would have enabled the widespread ballot-rigging they alleged. The Court accordingly rejected the parties' request for a rerun of the election or a recount of the votes. However, the judges sharply criticised the Electoral Commission of Namibia (ECN) for mistakes in the conduct of the poll, and urged parliament to revise Namibia's confusing electoral law. This may not be the end of the matter, as the nine parties intend to appeal to the Supreme Court by mid-March.