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Country Report Pakistan April 2011
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HTMLOutlook for 2011-15: Forecast summary
| Forecast summary | ||||||
| (% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
| 2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
| Real GDP growthc | 4.4 | 3.0d | 3.8 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 3.9 |
| Industrial production growth | 3.2d | 2.5 | 5.3 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| Agricultural production growthc | 2.0 | 1.0d | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Unemployment rate (av) | 15.4d | 15.2 | 15.2 | 14.5 | 13.8 | 13.4 |
| Consumer price inflation (av) | 13.9 | 10.2 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 6.4 | 6.9 |
| Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 15.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.9 |
| Short-term interbank rate | 11.7 | 12.1 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 9.1 | 9.0 |
| Central government balance (% of GDP)c | -6.3d | -6.7d | -6.3 | -5.4 | -5.0 | -4.7 |
| Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 21.4d | 26.7 | 30.2 | 34.3 | 39.8 | 46.7 |
| Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | -33.1d | -41.3 | -46.9 | -53.4 | -61.7 | -71.8 |
| Current-account balance (US$ bn) | -2.5d | -4.2 | -5.3 | -6.8 | -8.6 | -10.8 |
| Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -1.4d | -2.3 | -2.6 | -3.1 | -3.6 | -4.2 |
| External debt (year-end; US$ bn) | 56.2d | 60.6 | 61.9 | 63.8 | 66.3 | 69.9 |
| Exchange rate PRs:US$ (av) | 85.2 | 86.3 | 89.1 | 91.8 | 94.5 | 96.6 |
| Exchange rate PRs:US$ (end-period) | 85.7 | 87.7 | 90.4 | 93.1 | 95.6 | 97.7 |
| Exchange rate PRs:¥100 (av) | 90.9 | 97.8 | 101.6 | 105.8 | 109.9 | 112.4 |
| Exchange rate PRs:€ (av) | 118.7 | 111.5 | 106.1 | 105.5 | 107.7 | 110.2 |
| a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Fiscal years (ending June 30th). d Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. | ||||||
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