Country Report Senegal April 2011

Outlook for 2011-12: Monetary policy

Monetary policy is determined by the regional central bank, Banque centrale des Etats de l'Afrique de l'ouest (BCEAO), the priorities of which are targeting inflation and maintaining the CFA franc's peg to the euro. Policy is therefore heavily influenced by that of the European Central Bank (ECB). The BCEAO last cut its repurchase rate (taux de pension) by 50 basis points to 4.25% in June 2009. With a deteriorating inflationary outlook in the Franc Zone and the ECB tightening in April on similar concerns despite economic and fiscal weakness, the BCEAO may begin to tighten slightly its relatively loose monetary policy, raising its main policy rate, taux des appels d'offres, in 2011, earlier than originally expected. Liquidity injections will remain the prime policy tool, with the bank having recently introduced two new liquidity offerings as demand picked up.

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