Country Report Oman January 2011

Economic policy: 2011 general budget is announced

Details of the state general budget for 2011 were announced alongside the eighth five-year development plan by Mr Macki, at a press conference on January 1st. Total public revenue for 2011 is estimated at OR7.3bn (US$19bn), 14% higher than the 2010 budget figure. Just under 70% of the total is expected to come from oil revenue, based on an assumed average price of US$58/b, the highest price ever assumed in the state budget. Gas revenue is expected to contribute a further 13%, and the remaining amount (nearly 20%) will come from current and capital revenue. Public expenditure for 2011 is estimated at OR8.1bn, 13% higher than the figure in the 2010 budget. Current expenditure, at nearly OR2.8bn, is expected to account for 34% of total expenditure. This represents a 10% increase in current expenditure compared with the 2010 budget. This includes allocations to cover increases in civil service pay resulting from the new civil service job classification system. Education accounts for 34% of current expenditure, and health 12%.

The deficit is expected to be about OR850m which, as Mr Macki pointed out, is 4% of estimated GDP for 2011 and therefore within "economically safe and acceptable limits". Although the authorities have budgeted modest deficits for many years, high oil prices since the mid-2000s, together with a conservative setting of the assumed oil price, has resulted in surpluses being posted annually between 2002 and 2008.

2011 budget
(OR m unless otherwise indicated)
2010 budget2011 budget% change
Total revenue6,3807,28014
Oil4,0504,95622
Gas80092015
Capital and current revenue1,404
Total expenditure7,1808,13013
Civil ministries2,4802,75010
Education9726
Health33514
Oil and gas production1,4501,61712
Development budget for civil ministries9501,20026
Participation in the private sector46083835
Electricity subsidy14019942
Deficit800850
Source: Ministry of National Economy.

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