Foreign policy over the forecast period will continue to be driven by economic interests, including the maintenance of close relations with key donors and the advance of regional integration, especially within the East African Community (EAC). The country will retain close ties with the US (including military co-operation) and with major donors, but relations will suffer if the government fails to implement significant reforms and tackle deep-rooted corruption. Kenya will pursue closer links with key developing countries such as China, India and South Africa. The crisis in neighbouring, lawless Somalia, which remains embroiled in a civil war, will continue to be the main source of security- and terrorism-related risk.