Country Report Mauritius February 2011

Economic performance: Inflation jumps to 6.1%

Data from the Central Statistics Office show that year-on-year inflation rose to 6.4% in January. After remaining steady between 2% and 2.7% in the first nine months of 2010, the rate of inflation rose sharply in the last quarter, reflecting large increases in food and transport caused by rising world food and oil prices. The consumer price index rose by 2.1% in December alone, taking annual inflation above 6% for the first time since December 2008; this was the biggest monthly increase since the index was rebased in 2007.

Consumer prices
(% change, year on year)
 2010           2011
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan
Fooda3.13.03.33.23.02.63.22.94.24.85.16.35.5
Housing & utilitiesb-2.0-1.9-1.80.60.60.60.50.30.2-1.0-1.41.91.9
Transportc1.92.32.72.21.22.6-1.43.2-1.12.65.17.210.3
All items2.52.42.32.72.52.42.02.62.53.23.96.16.4
 12-month average2.32.11.91.81.81.71.81.92.02.32.62.93.3
a Weight of 28.6% in index. b Weight of 13.1% in index, includes water, electricity, gas and other fuels. c Weight of 14.7% in index.
Source: Central Statistics Office.

Download the numbers in Excel

The BoM has warned that interest rates may have to rise if this upward trend continues. On January 27th it published its Inflation Expectations Survey, which showed that one-half of the businesses surveyed expect average inflation to reach 5% in June (as does the Economist Intelligence Unit), compared with 2.9% in December. Earlier, on January 21st, the newly established Petroleum Pricing Committee (January 2011, Economic policy) increased the price of petrol and diesel by 8.5% and 12.3% respectively.

© 2011 The Economist lntelligence Unit Ltd. All rights reserved
Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this information, The Economist lntelligence Unit Ltd. cannot accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this information
IMPRINT