Forecast summary | ||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||
2009a | 2010b | 2011c | 2012c | |
Real GDP growth | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 8.9 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.2 |
Unemployment rate (av) | 7.3 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.2 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 2.5 | 2.9 | 7.4 | 5.2 |
Short-term interbank rate | 19.3 | 18.3 | 18.3 | 21.0 |
Government balance (% of GDP)d | -3.0 | -4.7 | -4.6 | -4.5 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ m) | 1,942 | 2,170 | 2,181 | 2,239 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ m) | -3,499 | -4,153 | -4,346 | -4,452 |
Current-account balance (US$ m) | -675 | -844 | -995 | -987 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -7.8 | -8.8 | -10.0 | -9.5 |
External debt (year-end; US$ bn) | 4.4b | 5.3 | 5.7 | 6.1 |
Exchange rate MRs:US$ (av) | 31.96 | 30.79 | 32.37 | 34.29 |
Exchange rate MRs:US$ (end-period) | 30.29 | 30.39 | 33.91 | 34.32 |
Exchange rate MRs:¥100 (av) | 34.11 | 35.04 | 39.47 | 42.33 |
Exchange rate MRs:€ (end-period) | 43.41 | 41.00 | 41.03 | 40.84 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. d Fiscal years ending June 30th until 2009; from 2010 fiscal year is same as calendar year. |
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