Forecast summary | ||||||
(% unless otherwise indicated) | ||||||
2010a | 2011b | 2012b | 2013b | 2014b | 2015b | |
Real GDP growth | 6.8 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.4 | 7.2 |
Industrial production growth | 14.0 | 14.0 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.0 | 15.0 |
Gross agricultural production growth | 2.8 | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
Consumer price inflation (av) | 9.0 | 14.9 | 9.9 | 7.9 | 7.5 | 6.1 |
Consumer price inflation (end-period) | 11.8 | 13.4 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 7.5 | 6.2 |
Lending rate | 13.1c | 14.3 | 12.5 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 11.5 |
Government balance (% of GDP) | -5.5c | -4.7 | -5.0 | -5.0 | -4.9 | -5.3 |
Exports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 71.9c | 89.6 | 95.9 | 106.7 | 120.5 | 138.2 |
Imports of goods fob (US$ bn) | 79.4c | 97.7 | 105.2 | 117.1 | 131.9 | 150.2 |
Current-account balance (US$ bn) | -5.6c | -6.2 | -6.3 | -6.6 | -6.3 | -6.4 |
Current-account balance (% of GDP) | -5.4c | -5.8 | -5.7 | -5.3 | -4.5 | -4.1 |
External debt (end-period; US$ bn) | 30.8c | 34.0 | 36.7 | 40.1 | 44.7 | 49.9 |
Exchange rate D:US$ (av) | 19,127 | 21,234 | 22,813 | 23,318 | 23,782 | 24,287 |
Exchange rate D:US$ (end-period) | 19,498 | 22,024 | 23,061 | 23,550 | 24,034 | 24,540 |
Exchange rate D:¥100 (av) | 21,677 | 24,199 | 26,297 | 27,114 | 27,653 | 28,455 |
Exchange rate D:€ (end-period) | 23,982 | 25,437 | 26,405 | 26,847 | 27,488 | 28,236 |
a Actual. b Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts. c Economist Intelligence Unit estimates. |
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